A new report details that Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker advanced ticket sales are “not overly robust.”
Deadline reports, “advance ticket sales are strong, but not overly robust.”
They clarify stating, “Meaning in the way that they were for 2015’s Force Awakens ($247.9M) and 2017’s Last Jedi ($220M).”
In fact, Deadline reports the average estimate for film is a $205M opening weekend. However, one tracking firm estimates it could only bring in $175M.
The Hollywood Reporter would reiterate Deadline’s reporting noting that the film is set “to open to at least $175 million to $200 million in its domestic debut over the Dec. 20-22 weekend.”
However, The Hollywood Reporter would attempt to spin the low forecasts saying they are “on par with early forecasts for Star Wars: The Last Jedi and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.”
YouTuber Odin’s Movie Blog describes this coverage saying, “The shill media is out in full shill mode ready to defend this film.”
As for The Hollywood Reporter’s spin, the facts don’t actually match up. Box Office Pro predicted Star Wars: The Last Jedi would bring in $215 million at the opening weekend. That’s $15 million more than the high end projection THR gives for Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker. That’s a significant change and not on par with The Last Jedi forecasts.
As for The Force Awakens, Collider reported box office tracking for the film was at $225 million. That’s $25 million more than The Rise of Skywalker.
But maybe more importantly, is these new predictions are lower than the long range prediction made by Box Office Pro back in October.
They predicted the film would make between $185 million and $225 million in its opening weekend.
Losing $25 million on the top end is not a good sign for Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker.
What do you make of these new forecasts for Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker? How much money do you think the movie will bring in at the box office?