Rachel Zegler’s ‘The Hunger Games’ Performs Worse Than Brie Larson’s ‘The Marvels’ At Thursday Night Previews
Rachel Zegler’s The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes brought had a lower take at the box office in its Thursday night previews compared to Brie Larson’s The Marvels.
Variety reports that Zegler’s The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes only grossed $5.75 million in previews on Thursday night.
That’s nearly $1 million less than what Brie Larson and The Marvels did. That film grossed $6.6 million at Thursday night previews just a week ago.
Interestingly, The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes was projected to have a better opening weekend that The Marvels. Box Office Pro adjusted their projections upwards this week claiming the film would gross between $42 million and $55 million and specifically predicting it would bring in $47.1 million at the domestic box office.
In contrast, the outlet had adjusted their projections for The Marvels down to between $35 million and $49 million right before the film arrived in theaters. The film would eventually bring in $46.1 million in its opening weekend.
Given these Thursday night preview numbers, it’s quite likely that The Marvels might actually outperfom Zegler’s The Hunger Games instead of the other way around.
Both films have identical Tomatometer scores at 62%. They both also have similar Metascore from critics. The Marvels has a 50 while The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes has a 52.
The one thing that The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes has going for it is a significantly lower production budget compared to The Marvels. That lower budget means its break even point is a lot lower as well.
The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes reportedly only has a $100 million production budget meaning it needs to only gross $250 million to break even in order to cover the split that theaters take from the grosses as well as the marketing budget.
The Marvels had a production budget upwards of $274 million. $274 million is the latest reported figure as of September 2022. The film had reshoots after that increasing that number. It also went through post-production, which also would have increased that figure. It’s likely the film needs to make at least $800 million to break even. It will not do that.
Box office analyst OMB Reviews discussed The Hunger Games’ box office noting that he believes the production budget for the film is actually a lot higher, “I would not be surprised if it actually cost a lot more than that seeing that Hollywood is notorious for just lying about their budgets and over spending on things.”
Nevertheless, he also stated the movie has “a steep hill” to climb even if the $100 million price tag is accurate.
He went on to predict that he believes the film will gross between $40 million and $50 million domestically “with an overall international number probably being somewhere around $85 to $100 million.”
What do you make of The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes’ Thursday night preview grosses?